To make my forecast for 2021’s summer season outlook, I first took a have a look at previous years with related situations. This 12 months, my analogue 12 months is 1996.
That summer season was a comparatively cool one, with beneath common numbers for 90-degree days and with out actually intense warmth. It additionally noticed above common rainfall.
I believe this summer season might be near that. We normally common about 46 days of 90-degree warmth a 12 months. This 12 months I’m going to remain proper round that quantity and predict between 42-48 days of 90-degree warmth. As for 100-degree days — I don’t suppose this summer season will see a single one.
Transferring on to storms and extra dramatic climate occasions, I’m predicting we’ll see 16-20 tropical methods, 8-10 hurricanes and 4 main hurricanes.
Importantly, my information means that we’ll have an elevated likelihood of a tropical storm or hurricane shifting up the east coast towards our space. This might be one thing we’ll actually need to be careful for, as these storms might carry wind and a variety of rain.
I’d time the possibilities of a tropical system between late June and early July and a doubtlessly bigger storm in late August and early September.