If the playoffs have been beginning at this time, the New England Patriots will be the AFC’s 6th seed. They’d get an opening-round matchup with the Tennessee Titans, adopted via a most probably highway gig towards the Kansas Town Chiefs. It’s a difficult trail within the already daunting American Soccer Convention. That mentioned, if any crew goes to come back out of the AFC that isn’t the Chiefs, Expenses, or Dolphins, I’ve a sneaky suspicion the Patriots may well be that crew.
Let me make something transparent. Mac Jones isn’t a Tremendous Bowl-caliber quarterback. He’s now not elite in any metric. Because it’s taking a look at this time, he’ll by no means be the fellow that is helping the Patriots win the AFC East. That mentioned, they don’t appear to want that. New England best wishes a stout protection, excellent offensive line play, and a bunch of working backs in a position to methodically pushing the ball downfield. Bet what? The Pats have all the above.
All New England wishes is for his or her protection to stay it within the recreation, and that’s been the case all season. The one video games the place it hasn’t been the case have been towards the Bears and the Ravens. We’ll get to these in a moment. New England has arguably the most powerful protection within the league, and it’s been in a position to carry groups just like the Jets to twenty issues general in two video games, an identical quantity the Jets scored of their lone recreation towards Buffalo, extensively regarded as probably the most perfect defenses within the NFL. The Patriots did this all whilst now not taking the Jets’ offense significantly. Head trainer Invoice Belichick even admitted to taking a look previous the Jets and onto the Vikings forward in their Week 11 matchup, and remember, the Jets have been forward of the Patriots within the standings previous to this contest.
Now, the place the Pats appear to fight is towards cellular quarterbacks. They’ve best had two video games this yr the place combatants have scored greater than 25 in law, the aforementioned Ravens and Bears. Each video games noticed the opposing quarterbacks rush for 107 and 82 yards respectively. New England is unbelievable at shutting down a passing recreation. If truth be told, the Pats are permitting the fourth-fewest passing yards according to recreation and the second-lowest passer ranking of any protection within the league, however fight to include the quarterback as soon as he’s out of doors the pocket. I need to emphasize too, it’s now not that those quarterbacks are beating them throughout the air when they get out of doors the pocket. Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson ranks 14th in passer ranking out of doors the pocket. Justin Fields ranks thirty first. Neither has been extremely efficient in that state of affairs. It’s their legs.
The Patriots’ aggregate of prime blitz charge (28 %, which is Twelfth-highest within the NFL) and elite protection makes them very sack-happy (36, second-most within the NFL). In addition they have the very best QB hurry proportion within the NFL (14.8 %) and the second-highest force charge (29.8 %). On the other hand, those inclinations additionally go away a large number of room open forward of the road of scrimmage, and any elusive quarterback that may evade the force could have quite a lot of room to run. That makes guys like Lamar Jackson, Justin Fields, Jalen Hurts, Josh Allen, and perhaps Patrick Mahomes all of the extra unhealthy towards New England. On the identical time regardless that, it makes guys who fold below force like Kirk Cousins (lowest passer ranking below force in NFL amongst certified QBs) seem like they’re seeing ghosts. That’s why I’m taking the Patriots in a landslide this Thanksgiving via the way in which.
On account of this, the Patriots in fact have an excellent matchup towards among the AFC’s best contenders: Cincinnati, Tennessee, Miami (despite the fact that they misplaced to them in Week 1, I believe New England has stepped forward since then), and Los Angeles. The ones are all groups the Patriots may just see within the playoffs. It’s simply as most probably that New England faces Buffalo, Kansas Town, or Baltimore and will get bounced within the Wild Card Spherical, but when the playing cards fall proper, they might perform a little critical harm.
The rest of the Patriots’ agenda isn’t simple with two video games left towards Buffalo and matchups with Cincinnati, Minnesota, and Miami nonetheless at the horizon. The ones will likely be benchmark video games to resolve the Pats’ viability within the postseason. It’s transparent that if the Patriots need any likelihood of doing harm come mid-January, the offense should display indicators of existence. That mentioned, there’s quite a few reason why to be positive. In the event that they’re taking a look cast at this time with Mac Jones taking part in probably the most worst soccer of his existence, they are able to completely be contenders if Jones features a little bit self assurance down the overall stretch of the common season.