ITV Racing Pointers & Tendencies

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York

As we head into the second one day (Thursday) on the Dante Competition at York we’ve every other height afternoon of flat horse racing to stay up for. The ITV4 cameras also are at the Knavesmire once more to absorb the primary 5 races, together with the Dante Stakes (3:35) – a number one Epsom Derby trial.

Andy Newton is readily available with all of the ITV4 York races this Thursday with key traits and guidelines.

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RELATED: York Races Nowadays – See All Races at York Nowadays: Making a bet, silks runners & riders


York Horse Racing Pointers and Tendencies (ITV/RacingTV)

1.50 – Paddy Energy ‘Making Flat Much less Flat’ Handicap Cl2 5f ITV4

13/13 – Had raced at York earlier than
12/13 – Didn’t win remaining day out
12/13 – Had gained a minimum of 4 occasions earlier than
11/13 – Had run within the remaining 5 weeks
11/13 – Got here from a single-figure draw
11/13 – Completed within the height 5 remaining day out
10/13 – Elderly 6 or older
9/13 – Returned a double-figure value
7/13 – Returned between 8/1 and 16/1
7/13 – Favourites positioned
6/13 – Carried 8-10 or much less in weight
2/13 – Skilled via Tim Easterby (remaining 2 runnings)
1/13 – Successful favourites
Copper Knight gained the race in 2019 and 2021
2021 Winner: Copper Knight (11/2 jfav)

The Mick Appleby runner – Raasel – is a fast-improving sprinter and he seemed to have somewhat extra up his sleeve remaining time than the top successful margin urged. He’s attention-grabbing and will have to be completing off neatly, however 11 of the remaining 13 winners got here from a single-figure draw – he’s drawn 11.

Alligator Alley, Virtual and Bedford Flyer can all move neatly, whilst the busy Superb Wine has been working persistently of overdue and may just hit the body once more. However COPPER KNIGHT @ 6/1 with William Hill has landed the remaining two runnings of this race appears price sticking with.

Sure, he’s up 19lbs from remaining yr, however he stepped forward up the ranks once more remaining season and has been rated this prime up to now (104). Draw 7 is okay and a up to date run at Musselburgh could have him able for this.

The opposite that ticks numerous the traits is JAWWAAL (e/w) @ 9/1 with William Hill. This Michael Dods 7 year-old is again from a ruin however used to be seventh on this race 365 days in the past and most effective crushed 3 lengths. He travelled neatly that day however the draw (11) seemed to move in opposition to him within the final phases. He’s were given a greater berth in 6 this time and can love the fast floor.

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2.25 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Middleton Fillies’ Stakes (Team 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV4

17/17 – Elderly 4 or 5 years-old
15/17 – Positioned within the height 4 remaining day out
14/17 – Gained over 1m2f earlier than
14/17 – Favourites positioned
13/17 – Priced 7/2 or shorter within the making a bet
11/17 – Having first run of the season
10/17 – Successful favourites (together with 8 of remaining 13)
9/17 – Had gained a minimum of 4 occasions earlier than
9/17 – Had raced at York earlier than
5/17 – Ran at Newmarket remaining day out
4/17 – Had gained at York earlier than
3/17 – Gained remaining day out
3/17 – Skilled via Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Ridden via Ryan Moore
2/17 – Winners from stall 1
1/17 – Irish skilled winners
2021 Winner: Queen Energy (6/4 fav)

This appears set to to be a combat between Sir Michael Stoute, who has two main fancies – Midday Superstar and Ville De Grace, and the Irish – who ship over Thunder Kiss and Forbearance.

Of that bunch, Thunder Kiss is the top-rated within the box and is a large participant after a height win at Cork remaining day out, however is but to race out of doors G3 corporate. Forbearance gained a Indexed race right here remaining season, however the fear together with her is the drop again to 1m2f – all wins remaining season came visiting 1m4f+.

In order that leaves the Soute runners – Ville De Grace – and NOON STAR @ 3/1 with William Hill. The previous used to be shut 2nd at HQ remaining day out and shall be higher for that run, nevertheless it’s attention-grabbing that Ryan Moore, who rode her that day prefers Midday Superstar.

This 4 year-old used to be a head Indexed Stakes winner at Nottingham remaining time over 1m2f and has now gained 3 of her remaining 6 races. She used to be additionally runer up within the Musidora Stakes right here remaining season so the observe is okay, whilst Moore may just now not be driving any higher these days.

3.00 – Paddy Energy Hambleton Stakes (Handicap) (Indexed Race) Cl1 1m ITV4

16/16 – Rated between 96-105
15/16 – Had gained over a mile earlier than
14/16 – Returned 10/1 or shorter
13/16 – Favourites positioned within the height 4
11/16 – Elderly between 4-6 years-old
11/16 – Had raced within the remaining 6 weeks
10/16 – Got here from a single-figure draw
10/16 – Had gained a minimum of 4 occasions earlier than
8/16 – Positioned remaining day out
7/16 – Elderly 4 years-old
3/16 – Successful favourites (1 joint, 1 co)
1/16 – Gained remaining day out
2021 Winner: Kynren (17/2)

With ALL of the remaining 16 winners rated between 96-105, then the tip 5 at the card – Bless Him, Brunch, Isla Kai, Cruyff Flip and What’s The Tale.

Of that lot, it’s onerous to forget about the Nigel Tinkler runner – ISLA KAI @ 6/1 with William Hill– who has most effective had seven profession runs and gained 4 of them. He returned remaining months at Newmarket with a cracking 4th of 17 and will have to now be spot on for this.

Others to notice decrease down the weights are Hortzador, Redarna, L. a. Trinidad, Lightening Corporate and Trais Fluors, however CD winner – BRUNCH (e/w) @ 17/2 with William Hill – is the opposite select. He used to be a neck runner-up on this 365 days in the past and appears arrange for every other giant show after nice runs within the Lincoln (eighth) and the G3 Earl Of Sefton Stakes remaining time at Newmarket.

3.35 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Dante Stakes (Team 2) Cl1 1m2f88y ITV4

17/19 – Winners that went onto run within the Epsom Derby (4 gained)
15/19 – Completed 3rd or higher remaining day out
13/19 – Returned 8/1 or shorter within the making a bet
13/19 – Had a prior race that season
12/19 – Gained their earlier race
10/19 – Went onto be positioned within the Epsom Derby
5/19 – Had gained over 1m2f earlier than
4/19 – Went onto win the Epsom Derby
4/19 – Successful favourites
3/19 – Gained via instructor Aidan O’Brien (gained it 4 occasions in all)
3/19 – Gained via instructor Sir Michael Stoute (gained it 6 occasions in all)
3/19 – Gained via jockey Ryan Moore
3/19 – Skilled via John Gosden (3 of remaining 7 runnings)
3/19 – Ridden via William Buick
2/19 – Skilled via Mark Johnston (2 of remaining 5)
2/19 – Ridden via Frankie Dettori
1/19 – Had run at York earlier than
0/19 – Winners from stall 2
Simply 2 successful favourites within the remaining 14 runnings
Golden Horn (2015) used to be the remaining Dante winner to move onto win the Epsom Derby
2021 Winner: Storm Lane (5/1)

The James Ferguson backyard have a pleasing horse on his fingers in El Bodegon, who is bound to be widespread when punters see that his remaining run in October used to be a 1 1/2 duration beating of remaining Sunday’s simple winner of the Leopardstown Derby Trial – Stone Age.

Alternatively, that win got here on very smooth floor and despite the fact that that shape has been given an enormous spice up this 3 year-old colt is but to race on floor sooner than good-to-soft – that will be the worry.

We will be able to’t forget about the rest instructor Aidan O’Brien ship to publish these days – he landed many of the giant races at Chester remaining week and already holds a large hand within the Epsom Derby making a bet marketplace. He runs Bluegrass right here, with Ryan Moore driving. However he used to be most effective 3rd remaining day out at Leopardstown and has to this point been unplaced in each runs over 1m2f.

Masekela, for Andrew Balding, has a Derby access and confirmed first rate shape as a 2 year-old remaining season, however the fear for him and in addition Royal Partronage, who beat him at HQ remaining Sept, is getting this longer shuttle.

So, the 2 that glance the in all probability to combat this out are the Gosden runner- Magisterial and the Stoute-trained Desolate tract Crown.

The once-raced Desolate tract Crown is @ 6/1 with William Hill for the Epsom Derby and already has a tall recognition even after simply the only run and win. That got here at Nottingham remaining November, nevertheless it used to be an crowd pleasing 5 1/2 duration luck. The small fear regardless that is that got here on smooth floor and he’s additionally now not had a run since – while, maximum of his primary opponents had been at the observe within the remaining month or so.

We’ve additionally most effective noticed 2 successful Dante Stakes favourites within the remaining 14 runnings, which might be a unfavourable for Desolate tract Crown if he helps to keep his place on the head of the marketplace.

So, the select is the Frankel colt – MAGISTERIAL @ 3/1 with William Hill. He’ll be well-liked by Frankie Dettori additionally driving and he returned remaining month with a pleasing win at Leicester. He’s @ 25/1 with William Hill for the Epsom Derby – odds that may disappear if he can win this.

He’s obviously an recovering type and with 3 profession runs is a good bit extra skilled than Desolate tract Crown (1 run). He additionally seemed to have somewhat up his sleeve remaining time at Leicester and despite the fact that it is a giant step up in grade he’s were given robust connections that really feel he’s as much as the duty.

4.10 – British Stallion Studs EBF Westow Stakes (Indexed Race) (Magnificence 1) (3yo) 5f ITV4

10/10 – Had gained over 5f or 6f up to now
8/10 – Gained between 1-2 occasions earlier than
8/10 – Positioned within the height 5 remaining day out
7/10 – Ran not more than 6 occasions
7/10 – Rated between 98-103
7/10 – Drawn in stall 1-5
7/10 – Irish bred
6/10 – Positioned favourites
6/10 – Had run on the observe earlier than
5/10 – Gained remaining day out
3/10 – Successful favourites
3/10 – Ridden via Danny Tudhope
2021 Winner: Iciness Energy (5/1)

Boonie were given as much as win via 3/4 of a duration at Nottingham remaining day out and is most effective up 4lbs for that right here. Khunan and the one CD winner within the box – Undertaking Dante – may also be regarded as too.

Alternatively, the Aidan O’Brien backyard have a promising sprinter on their fingers in KING OF BAVARIA @ 6/4 with William Hill, who used to be remaining noticed working neatly in a Indexed race at Navan. Prioer to that he gained each begins and despite the fact that the drop again to 5f will not be utterly preferrred having stayed on neatly the remaining day over 5 1/2f, he’s proven quite a lot of velocity to deal with it.

Of the remainder, a saver on LAST CRUSADER (e/w) @ 12/1 with William Hill too with jockey Danny Tudhope having gained two of the remaining 4 runnings of this. He ran neatly at Team degree remaining season so this drop right into a Indexed race will assist and shall be more fit for a go back run at HQ remaining month.

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York Horse Racing Instances and Race Card: Thurs twelfth Would possibly 2022

  • 1:50 – Paddy Energy ‘Making Flat Much less Flat’ Handicap Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV4
  • 2:25 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Middleton Fillies’ Stakes (Team 2) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m2½f ITV4
  • 3:00 – Paddy Energy Hambleton Handicap Cl2 (4yo+) 1m ITV4
  • 3:35 – Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Dante Stakes (Team 2) Cl1 (3yo) 1m2½f ITV4
  • 4:10 – British Stallion Studs EBF Westow Stakes (Indexed Race) Cl1 (3yo) 5f ITV4
  • 4:45 – Frank Whittle Partnership EBFstallions.com Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) Cl2 (2yo) 6f RTV
  • 5:20 – Fidomoney Handicap Cl3 (4yo+ 0-90) 2m½f RTV

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